当代财经 ›› 2022, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (5): 13-24.

• 理论经济 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国弱相对贫困标准与测量

孙炜红1a, 伍骏骞1b, 刘定2, 王卓3   

  1. 1.西南财经大学 a. 社会发展研究院,b. 中国西部经济研究中心,四川 成都 611130;
    2.重庆大学 经济与工商管理学院,重庆 400044;
    3.四川大学 公共管理学院,四川 成都 610065
  • 收稿日期:2021-04-29 修回日期:2021-11-24 出版日期:2022-05-15 发布日期:2022-05-26
  • 通讯作者: 刘定,重庆大学副教授,主要从事宏观经济学研究,联系方式liuding@cqu.edu.cn
  • 作者简介:孙炜红,西南财经大学讲师,人口学博士,主要从事人口经济学研究;伍骏骞,西南财经大学副研究员,经济学博士,主要从事发展经济学研究;王卓,四川大学教授,人口学博士,主要从事贫困治理与人口经济学研究。
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金重大项目“相对贫困的标准、识别与治理机制”(20ZDA074); 四川省哲学社会科学规划青年项目“四川藏区相对贫困测度、识别与激励相容治理机制研究”(SC20C041)

Weakly Relative Poverty Standards and Measurement in China

SUN Wei-hong1, WU Jun-qian1, LIU Din2, WANG Zhuo3   

  1. 1. Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, Chengdu 611130;
    2. Chongqing University, Chongqing 400044;
    3. Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China
  • Received:2021-04-29 Revised:2021-11-24 Online:2022-05-15 Published:2022-05-26

摘要: 准确把握我国相对贫困现状需要在弱相对贫困线的基础上度量相对贫困发生率及其变化趋势。利用中国家庭金融调查2013—2019年四轮微观调查数据的实证研究显示,弱相对贫困线上限的变化趋势慢于人均收入的增长趋势。这表明基于传统收入比例法得到的相对贫困线会高估相对贫困发生率。数据分析也表明,无论分城乡还是分区域,相对贫困发生率均呈下降趋势;农村和东部地区相对贫困发生率分别高于城市和西部地区。样本期间,相对贫困分布的区域集中程度上升,相对贫困发生率呈现从高水平分散向低水平集中转变的特征。因此,重视城乡、区域之间的差异,因地制宜精准施策是相对贫困治理的重点。

关键词: 弱相对贫困, 贫困率, 福利主义, 马丁法

Abstract: To accurately grasp the status quo of relative poverty in China, it is necessary to measure the incidence of relative poverty and its changing trend based on the weakly relative poverty line. By making use of the data from the four rounds of the microscopic investigation of China Household Finance Survey 2013-2019, this paper conducts an empirical research. The findings show that the changing trend of the upper limit of the weakly relative poverty line is slower than the growth trend of per capita income, indicating that the relative poverty line obtained by the traditional income proportion method would overestimate the relative poverty incidence. The data analysis also shows that the relative poverty incidence is declining regardless of whether it is in urban or rural areas or by region, and the relative poverty incidences in rural areas and in the western areas are higher than those in the urban and the eastern areas, respectively. Over the sample period, the regional concentration of the relative poverty distribution keeps rising, and the relative poverty incidence presents the characteristics of switching from high-level dispersion to low-level concentration. Therefore, the key points in the governance of the relative poverty lie in paying close attention to the gaps between the urban and rural areas and the regional differences, and implementing policies tailored to local conditions.

Key words: weakly relative poverty, poverty incidence, welfarism, Martin Method

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