当代财经 ›› 2014, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (01): 1654-.

• • 上一篇    

国际股票市场价值溢价——基于世界长期风险模型的解释

陈国进1a,b,黄伟斌1b   

  1. (1. 厦门大学 a. 王亚南经济研究院;b. 经济学院,福建 厦门 361005)
  • 收稿日期:2013-10-28 发布日期:2021-01-21
  • 作者简介:陈国进,厦门大学王亚南经济研究院副院长,教授,博士生导师,主要从事资产定价研究;黄伟斌,厦门大学经济学(金融学)博士,主要从事资产定价、金融计量研究,联系方式huangevan@163.com。

Value Premium in International Stock Markets: An Interpretation Based on the World Long Term Risk Model

CHEN Guo-jin, HUANG Wei-bin   

  1. (Xiamen University, Xiamen 361005, China)
  • Received:2013-10-28 Published:2021-01-21

摘要: 价值型公司组合总体收益高于成长型公司组合,即价值溢价之谜在国际股票市场上普遍存在。在经济一体化假设下,采用传统消费的资本资产定价模型、习惯形成、协整的长期风险和平稳的长期风险等CCAPM理论来研究主要发达国家和地区的价值溢价现象,实证结果发现价值溢价产生的原因在于价值型公司对于协整风险和时变经济波动风险的暴露更大;协整的长期风险理论综合考虑了股票的短期和长期风险暴露,较其他模型优胜。这对于同样存在价值溢价,又处在越来越开放的经济条件下的中国股票市场具有一定的启示作用。

关键词: CCAPM,长期风险理论,国际股票市场,价值溢价

Abstract: Value stock portfolio can get higher return than growth stock, namely the value premium puzzle is a widespread phenomenon in the international stock markets. Based on the assumption of economic integration, this paper adopts the world CCAPM theories, such as the classical CCAPM, habit formation, cointegrated long-term risks and stationary long-term risks, to study the value premium in the major developed countries. The empirical results show that the cause for the appearance of value premium lies in the fact that the value style companies are more exposed to the cointegrated long-term risks and time-varying economic fluctuation risks. The cointegrated long-term risk theory can comprehensively take into consideration the short and long term risk exposure of stocks, thus it is better than other models. This can give some enlightenment to China’s stock markets, which have the same value premium and are under the increasingly open economic conditions.

Key words: CCAPM; long-term risks theory; international stock market; value premium