当代财经 ›› 2012, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (09): 1567-.

• • 上一篇    

累积性通胀与货币-价格关系变化——基于2007年通货膨胀背景的分析

贾非   

  1. (吉林大学 商学院,吉林 长春 130012)
  • 收稿日期:2012-09-12 发布日期:2021-01-21
  • 作者简介:贾 非,吉林大学博士研究生,吉林华侨外国语学院国际经济贸易学院讲师,主要从事金融与货币经济研究;

Cumulative Inflation and the Changes of Money-Price Relations: An Analysis Based on the Background of Inflation in 2007

JIA Fei   

  1. (Jilin University, Changchun 130012, China)
  • Received:2012-09-12 Published:2021-01-21

摘要: 将要素货币化进程引入易纲的货币化模型,对1997-2006年高货币供给量和低通货膨胀并存的现象给出了解释。边限协整检验结果显示,要素货币化进程吸收了货币,证实了金融市场的货币累积效应。基于扩展的资本市场均衡模型给出的13种资本市场状态,对货币在要素市场和产品市场之间的累积和流转给出了解释,发现金融市场累积的货币与危机后宽松的货币政策共同形成了2007年通货膨胀的货币压力。治理通货膨胀,短期内必须最大限度地控制货币量,长期内则应引导资产市场体系恢复均衡。

关键词: 货币化,资本市场均衡模型,边限协整,通货膨胀

Abstract: By introducing the factor monetization process into the monetization model of Yi Gang(1995), this paper offers an interpretation of the phenomenon of the co-existence of higher money supply and lower inflation during the period of 1997-2006. The results of the bound cointegration test indicate that the factor monetization process has absorbed money, which proves the money cumulative effect in the financial markets. Based on the 13 states of the capital markets given by the extended capital market equilibrium model, it interprets the accumulation and moving of money between the factor market and the product market. It is found that the cumulated money in financial markets and the easy monetary policies after the crisis jointly formed the money pressure of 2007 inflation. To fight inflation, the total quantity of money should be controlled in the short run and the capital market system should be guided to recover equilibrium in the long run.

Key words: monetization; equilibrium model of capital market; bound cointegration; inflation